Period

1.11.2025 – 31.10.2026

Head 

Tjaša Redek, Ph.D.

Research activity 

 Social Sciences and Humanities/ Physical Sciences/ Life Sciences

Research Organisation

University of Ljubljana School of Economics and Business

 

Abstract

Goal is (1) simulate the climate change and its impacts at a regional and local levels using neural-network–based reconstructions of past weather and climate models at regional (and more disaggregated) scales to reconstruct past and predict future climate indicators for Slovenia, (2)  assess the impact on biodiversity and ecosystem resilience at regional and local levels for selected cultures and map how these changes transmit through the bioeconomy-agriculture, forestry, water systems, (3) anticipate the impact on the development of the bioeconomy at regional and local level, (4) By combining advanced simulations with qualitative fieldwork and indicator systems, we will identify vulnerable and resilient elements in Slovenia’s bio-based sectors, evaluate the transmission channels and assess the  effects of climate change on the bioeconomy and the whole economy at the aggregate and sectoral level and assess the impacts on the economic, social and natural and cultural heritage and landscape in Slovenia in order to design climate-resilient technologies (4) and on the wider labour market and social development and well-being, and (5) co-create and deploy climate-resilient technologies, decision-support tools and policy recommendations that support sustainable economy, accelerate the green transition and inclusive socio-economic development. The contributions will be (1) scientific, (2) methodological (3) practical with wider well-being impact on the society.

 

Researchers

School of Economics and Business

•       Tjaša Redek (team and project leader)

•       Ljubica Knežević Cvelbar

•       Daša Farčnik

•       Vesna Žabkar

•       Tomaž Čater

•       Barabara Culiberg

•       Katja Zajc Kejžar

•       Nina Ponikvar

•       Mojca Marc

•       Mojca Bavdaž

•       Sandra Damijan

Faculty of Mathematics

•       Žiga Zaplotnik (team leader)

•       Nina Črnivec

•       Uroš Perkan

•       Boštjan Melinc

•       Matic Pikovnik

 Biotechnical faculty

-      Boštjan Lesar (team leader)

-      Miha Humar

-      Tjaša Pogačar

-      Luka Juvančič

-      Aleš Kuhar

-      Tim Ratajc

-      Zala Žnidaršič

-      Rok Kuk

                                             

The phases of the project and their realization

WP1 Local and global climate modelling

WP2 Transmission mechanisms of climate and environmental changes to the bioeconomy, economy and society, identifying vulnerable and resilient elements of the bioeconomy

WP 3 Climate-resilient environmental technologies to support vulnerable sectors & strengthen adaptive capacity

WP 4 Economic impacts of bioeconomy on wider economy amid climate change

WP 5 Labour and socio-economic impacts of climate change, strategic approach to industry and consumer attitude change

WP6  Participation models for sustainable development: inclusive stakeholder approach to preparing stakeholder  recommendations

WP7 Dissemination.

WP8 Project management and setting up a joint interdisciplinary young researcher lab.

 

Bibliografske reference

 Pikovnik M., Zaplotnik Ž., The Changes of the Northern Hadley Cell Strength in Reanalyses and Radiosonde Observations. https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.05331v1.

Melinc B., Perkan U., Zaplotnik Z. A unified neural background-error covariance model for midlatitude and tropical atmospheric data assimilation. https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.11968

Katzenberger, A., Črnivec, N., Puthukulangara, P., Galytska, E., Gemmell, K., Leclerc, C., Perez-Carrasquilla, J. S., Roy, I., Varuolo-Clarke, A., and Tošić, M.: Guidelines for Working with Multi-Model Ensembles in CMIP, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-16927, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-16927, 2025.               

PRAŠNIKAR, Janez, BOLE, Velimir, REDEK, Tjaša. A dual-approach to project team optimisation : balancing the 'Shackleton' and 'weakest-link' effects. Društvena istraživanja. 2025, vol. 34, iss. 2, str. 145-167.

PIEKKOLA, Hannu, BLOCH, Carter, RYBALKA, Marina, REDEK, Tjaša. Intangibles from intangible capital work : their valuation and technological change. Review of income and wealth. May 2025, vol. 71, iss. 2

LESAR, Boštjan, HUMAR, Miha, OSVALD, Florjan. Colour changes of weathered wood surfaces before and after treatment with Iron (II) Sulphate = Drvna industrija : Znanstveno stručni časopis za pitanja drvne tehnologije. 2024, vol. 75, iss. 1, str. 5-17, ilustr. ISSN 0012-6772. https://hrcak.srce.hr/file/454800, Repozitorij Univerze v Ljubljani – RUL, DOI: 10.5552/drvind.2024.0148.

HUMAR, Miha, LESAR, Boštjan, KREGAR, Nace, DRNOVŠEK, Simon. Leseni daljnovodni drogovi – analiza vzrokov za prezgodnji razkroj na območju Elektra Celje. Ljubljana: Biotehniška fakulteta, Oddelek za lesarstvo, 2024. 19 str., ilustr. [COBISS.SI-ID 211702787]

Arnič D, Loizou E, Ščap Š, Prislan P, Juvančič L. Evaluating Alternative Transformation Pathways of Wood-Based Bioeconomy: Application of an Input–Output Model. Forests. 2024; 15(12):2084. https://doi.org/10.3390/f15122084

Perkan , Zaplonik. Using gridpoint relaxation for forecast error diagnostics in neural weather models. https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.11987